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September 14, 2014

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11:05 – 11:30 – MIKE WALLACE (MLB INSIDER/ NATS TALK/ FORMER MAJOR LEAGUE PITCHER)

CAROLINA -2 1⁄2 OVER DETROIT (43) – Cam Newton gets the start for a Carolina team that held on last

week to beat the Tampa Bay Bucs. I doubt he’s 100% but by the looks of things, he’s ready to get

his offense on track. Last week in street clothes he ran out onto the field to read the “riot act” to his

offense. It seemed to work. Detroit has Matthew Stafford, Megatron, Reggie Bush, and an offense that

looks like they can attack from everywhere. Their defense is improved but I’m not sure if they will be

as good with bad weather tomorrow expected in Charlotte. If they can establish the run and open up

their passing game, I look for Detroit to give the Panthers some problems they can’t handle. DETROIT 27

CAROLINA 21. TAKE THE POINTS FOR 3 STARS.

MIAMI PICK AT BUFFALO (43) – PASS. I just can’t get a feel for this game. Sure, Buffalo won last week

and everyone is happy because they won’t have to travel to Canada to see future NFL football games.

Last week the Bills played well in Chicago and took advantage of three Bears turnovers to beat them

in OT 23-20. I’m still not convinced that Bills QB E.J. Manuel is the guy for the job but he managed the

game well only throwing one interception and going 16 for 22 with a touchdown. The Bills ran the ball

33 times for 193 yards. If they can do that against the Dolphins, they should win the game but I think

that this is definitely an improved Dolphins squad. The Dolphins came back from a 20-10 halftime deficit

to outscore the struggling Patriots 33-20. Knowshon Moreno rushed 24 times for 134 yards in the win.

Patriots QB Tom Brady threw the ball 56 times and did NOT throw a TD pass. I’M GOING TO PASS ON

THIS GAME.

JACKSONVILLE +6 OVER WASHINGTON (43) – The Jaguars are getting better but it is a slow process.

They have two good QBs who can move the football and some players who have the tools to score. The

Redskins defense is decent and their best side of the ball for sure, but I’m not sure how successful they

will be against an improving Jacksonville tea. Both teams have some injuries to watch. I’ going to pass

on the game but wouldn’t be surprised if the Jaguars stay close and cover. I’ going to PASS.

TENNESSEE -3.5 OVER DALLAS (49.5) – Tennessee looked ready to play last week going into Kansas City

and handling the Chiefs and Andy Reid by a score of 26-10. It wasn’t that close. Jake Locker looked

good going 22 for 33 for 266 yards and 2 TD’s and NO picks. The Titans also RUSHED for 162 yards

distributing the ball to different runner. I look for the Titans to jump on the Cowboys at home and take

advantage of a confused looking Tony Romo and the Dallas offense. The Dallas defense is a sieve to

begin with. If Dallas is going to have a chance, it will lay in the hands of running back DeMarco Murray

who had 118 yards on 22 carries and a TD last week. Their passing game looks horrible. FINAL SCORE

TENNESSEE 34 DALLAS 24. TAKE THE TITANS FOR 4 STARS!

ARIZONA -2.5 OVER GIANTS (42.5) – Carson Palmer practiced on Friday and even though he’s listed as

questionable, he’s close to 100% according to my sources. The Cards held on and beat a good San Diego

Chargers team last Monday and even though they are on a short week AND they play on the East coast,

I’m tempted to play the against the struggling Giants. The Giants have injuries and their offense, which

is new under Coach McAdoo, doesn’t seem to have much of a chance anytime soon. Eli threw two picks

and had a QB rating of only 53 last week against the Lions. They only averaged 3.5 yards PER PLAY.

Carson Palmer looks comfortable in Bruce Arians offense and he has some weapons. Even though the

Cards have lost some good defensive players to injury, they played great last week. I’M GOING TO TAKE

THE CARDS FOR A REGULAR PLAY TO BEAT AND COVER AGAINST THE GIANTS. FINAL SCORE ARIZONA 27

GIANTS 21.

NEW ENGLAND -5.5 AT MINNESOTA (48.5) – What has happened to Minnesota this past week you

couldn’t make up. Adrian Peterson is probably done for the year, suspended for being indicted in Texas

to disciplining his 4 year old son with a switch and leaving marks that didn’t look good in the pictures.

No matter how you feel about this, the Vikings best offensive weapon is gone. The Pats lost last week.

They are playing outside in a new stadium when the home field advantage won’t be as easy to attain

thus the 5.5 point spread with Vikings the underdog. Matt Cassel had a great week throwing the ball

last week in St. Louis. They HAMMERED the Rams 34-6. I doubt that Belichick is going to let former

Patriot QB Cassel beat him. Tom Brady had a horrible week last week ending up with a 69.7 QB rating

against the Dolphins. Gronkowski should be a week healthier this week. I’M GOING TO PASS ON THIS

ONE. FINAL SCORE NEW ENGLAND 23 MINNESOTA 20.

NEW ORLEANS -6.5 OVER CLEVELAND (48.5) – The Saints lost a tough one when their defense under

Rob Ryan, forgot to show up and cover and tackle. I don’t see the Saints and Sean Payton coming into

Cleveland and losing to a team that lost their star running back and tight end in last week’s game. Look

for a shootout of sorts but Ryan will get the Saints defense working better and Cleveland won’t have

a team to come back on like they did last week against the Steelers. The Browns were down 27-3 at

halftime last week. I like the Saints here to completely manhandle the Browns. We might see JOHNNY

FOOTBALL at halftime of this week’s game. TAKE THE SAINTS FOR 5 STARS HERE. FINAL SCORE NEW

ORLEANS 35 CLEVELAND 14.

CINCINNATI -5.5 OVER ATLANTA (49) – Cincinnati prevailed in Baltimore last week and the Falcons

UPSET the Saints at HOME in a shootout of sorts. Matt Ryan was Offensive Player of the Week going

31 for 43 for 448 yards and setting all kinds of Atlanta Falcon records. They ran the ball very efficiently

also running the ball 25 times for 123 yards. Everybody seems to be healthy for Atlanta this week. The

Bengals have some injury issues but the Falcons defense is anything but tough. I look for a shootout

in Cincinnati in some good weather and the results will be too close to call. A.J. Green looks like a Hall

of Famer in the making. IM GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 49 POINTS HERE FOR 5 STARS! FINAL SCORE

CINCINNATI 38 ATLANTA 34.

TAMPA BAY -5.5 OVER ST. LOUIS (37.5) – The Rams pretty much SUCKED last week against the Vikings

who opened up a can of whoop ass against them. The Bucs lost a tough one against a Panther defense

that refused to lose. You’re going to see a very similar game today in Tampa on a hot day but not a lot

of humidity. Since the Rams look to be starting a backup today (Shaun Hill is hurt) I don’t see much of

a chance of the Bucs losing this one. Whether they cover the spread is another question. Last week

against Carolina they HAD NO RUNNING GAME at all. I’M GOING TO HEDGE HERE ON BOTH PLAYS.

I’M GOING TO TAKE THE BUCS TO COVER THE SPREAD AGAINST A ROOKIE QB AND I SEE THE NUMBER

GOING UNDER 37.5. FINAL SCORE TAMPA BAY 23 ST. LOUIS 10

SEATTLE -5.5 OVER SAN DIEGO (44) – This has the makings of a GREAT game this week but it will all

hinge on whether the Chargers defense can stop Russell Wilson and his balanced offense and running

game to be able to stay close enough for the Charger OFFENSE to score enough points to cover and/or

win the game. The Seahawks are healthy. The Chargers are a little banged up after their game against a

physical Arizona tea that they lost a close one against last week. It is also a short week for the Chargers.

Gametime temperatures are going to be around 90 degrees but I don’t think that will give either team

an advantage. This game features two great QBs in Phillip Rivers and Russell Wilson. Wlson gives the

Hawks an edge with his ability to run when nothing is available. Rivers has to look for a soft place to

lay down. Chargers RB Ryan Matthews will get the ball at least 20 times for the Chargers to have any

chance to win. I’M GOING TO PASS ON THE GAME, EVEN THOUGH SEATTLE IS THE BETTER TEAM FOR

SURE. THE LINE IS A GOOD ONE. FINAL SCORE SEATTLE 24 SAN DIEGO 21.

HOUSTON -3 AT OAKLAND (40) – UGLY UGLY UGLY GAME. The Texans are banged up but have a much

better team than Oakland and after winning last week in Washington, they know how important this

game is in the grand scheme of making the playoffs. J.J. Watt pretty much beat up the entire Redskins

OL and made Robert Griffin nervous and caused turnovers. TAKE THE HOUSTON TEXANS TO GO 2-0

BEATING THE RAIDERS IN OAKLAND ON A BEAUTIFUL TEXAS DAY! FINAL SCORE HOUSTON 27 OAKLAND

20.

GREEN BAY -8 OVER JETS (46) – Hey, I’d love to take the JETS here but I’m scared of how good the

Packers are going to look coming off a loss an ass whooping to the Seattle Seahawks. Granted, the

Jets aren’t the Seahawks, but they have a pretty good defense. However, coming off one of the worst

passing games of his career, I look for Aaron Rodgers to bounce back and deliver a win for the Packers

hopeful. Whether they cover 8 points or not is another thing. JETS QB Geno Smith looked good against

Oakland but, hey, IT WAS OAKLAND!! I’M GOING TO TAKE THE PACKERS HERE TO BOUNCE BACK AND

DELIVER A WIN AND A COVER HERE AGAINST REX AND THE JETS! PLAY THE PACKERS FOR 5 STARS HERE.

FINAL SCORE GREEN BAY 31 JETS 21. WE MIGHT SEE MIKE VICK IN THIS GAME.

DENVER -12.5 OVER KANSAS CITY (50.5) – This is my play of the week. I think Denver will absolutely

DESTROY the Chiefs. Sure, K. C. still has some weapons on offense but I’m looking for the Chiefs to be

just as bad as they did in the playoffs last season. Manning and his offense are going to score early and

score repeatedly. I don’t see the Chiefs having much of a chance here in the altitude of Denver. Chiefs

QB Alex Smith had the WORST QB rating of the entire league last week against the Tennessee Titans.

Hey, give me a break. That absolutely sucks. Their best receiver is suspended for another few games

(Dwayne Bowe) and last week they didn’t run the ball much at all. It sure is starting to look like an

Andy Reid team. Look for Jamaal Charles to get the ball much more frequently this week. TAKE THE

BRONCOS TO COVER AND WIN THIS GAME. YOU CAN HEDGE (IF YOU WISH) ON THE OVER ALSO. THAT

WOULD COVER A K.C. GOOD OFFENSIVE GAME (WHICH I DON’T THINK WILL HAPPEN). FINAL SCORE

DENVER 48 K.C. 24.

SUNDAY NIGHT

SAN FRANCISCO -7 OVER CHICAGO (48) – Chicago looked so pitiful last week on both sides of the ball

that I have to go with the Niners AND the over in a slight hedge here. The Niners minus some personnel

are still FAR better than the Bears. The Niners are at home for their Opener in their new stadium. I

could see Cutler getting hurt in this game against a defense that is going to be looking to kick a little ass

today and go 2-0. The Bills had 193 rushing yards last week against the Bears defense. Look for Frank

Gore and Colin Kaepernick to do more of the same. Some injuries to some Bears players isn’t going to

help either. TAKE THE NINERS MINUS THE POINTS FOR 4 STARS AND THE OVER FOR 4 STARS. FINAL

SCORE SAN FRANCISCO 45 CHICAGO 28.

MONDAY NIGHT

INDIANAPOLIS -3 OVER PHILADELPHIA (54) – See my website for the pick tomorrow night!! As of right

now, I’m taking the OVER for 5 stars. I might release Indy tomorrow. I’m waiting on some news.

PICKS FOR NHB-

TENNESSEE -3.5 OVER DALLAS 3 STARS

DENVER -12 OVER KANSAS CITY 5 STARS

NEW ORLEANS -6 OVER CLEVELAND 5 STARS

NEW ENGLAND -6 OVER MINNY 3 STARS

HOUSTON -3 OVER OAKLAND 3 STARS

INDIANAPOLIS -3 OVER PHILLY 4 STARS

SAN FRANCISCO -7 OVER CHICAGO 4 STARS

September 7, 2014

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HAPPY BIRTHDAY CAROL!!

DEDICATED TO LINDA

10:05-10-15 GARY MYERS (NEW YORK DAILY NEWS) WRITER JETS/GIANTS

10:30-10:45 RICK SNIDER (REDSKINS AND NFC EAST)

11:30-WHENEVER CLARK JUDGE (NFL, JETS AND GIANTS)

ST. LOUIS -3 OVER MINNESOTA (44) – With Sam Bradford out, the Rams don’t lose too much starting

Shaun Hill at QB. Hill has a winning record as a starter in the NFL and they are going to need Zak Stacy

to run the ball effectively behind their offensive line to win anyway. Minnesota has a new head coach

in veteran DC Mike Zimmer and look for the Vikings to POUND the ball on the ground and mix in some

passes to their great TE Kyle Rudolph. This should be a close game and probably without much scoring.

I’m going to PASS on this one. ST. LOUIS 23 MINNY 20.

NEW ORLEANS -2 OVER ATLANTA (52) – Normally this would be one of the games of the day, but

personally, I don’t see it that way this season. Atlanta is coming off one of their worst seasons in history

and definitely in Mike Smith’s tenure as HC of the Falcons. Even though they lost Tony Gonzales to

retirement, the Falcons still have Roddy White and Julio Jones. However, I don’t see the defense for the

Falcons having enough to stop Drew Brees and his talented offense of the Saints. I look for the Saints to

score often and the entire game. The Saints have added Jarius Byrd at safety. That won’t hurt either.

TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE 2 POINTS FOR 4 STARS. NEW ORLEANS 31 ATLANTA 21.

CHICAGO -7 OVER BUFFALO (47) – I’m looking for the Bears to come out ready to play both offensively

and defensively at home over a Bills team that struggles on both sides of the ball. Bills QB EJ Manuel

continues to struggle with this offense He’s going to have to improve dramatically for the Bills to get to

the postseason. Jay Cutler is HEALTHY and usually gets off to a good start anyway. I look for the Bears

to have their way on offense with a good but not great Bills defense. Matt Forte and the Bears receivers

will be open and open regularly for Cutler to move the sticks. TAKE THE BEARS MINUS THE POINTS FOR

5 STARS! CHICAGO 27 BUFFALO 17.

BALTIMORE – 2 OVER CINCINNATI (43) – This game might be the most important of the day because

the winner takes a full game lead over the team that will probably be right there at the end of the

season to compete for the playoff spot and division championship. The Ravens have been fairly quiet

in the offseason but have made some strides on the defensive side of the ball. Ray Rice sits a two game

suspension for knocking out his new bride but many people believe that Bernard Pierce is a better

overall back than Rice anyway. If Pierce plays well, look for Rice to have a reduced role with the Ravens

offense when he does come back. TE Dennis Pitta is healthy and is Joe Flacco’s security blanket. Torrey

and Steve Smith give Flacco plenty of ammunition to go down the field in their no-huddle. Cincinnati, by

the way, is the AFC North returning champion and have plenty of weapons on both sides of the ball to

win this ballgame. Andy Dalton has just signed a long term deal with the Bengals but has lost his OC in

Jay Gruden, who took the HC job in Washington. This game should come down to the final 5 minutes of

the game. PASS. BALTIMORE 27 CINCINNATI 24.

WASHINGTON +3 OVER HOUSTON(44.5) – Two rookie coaches in Jay Gruden and Bill O’Brien going at

it with two teams whose combined records last season were 5-27? No wonder Thom Brennaman and

David Diehl are announcing the game. Houston doesn’t have much except Arian Foster (who didn’t take

a snap in preseason) and Andre Johnson on offense. Jadeveon Clowney has looked good in preseason

next to J.J. Watt and they could create problems for the Washington offensive line but in reality, the

Redskins probably have more talent overall than a Houston team where I seriously have a hard time

finding names I recognize. If Robert Griffin can deliver the ball to his receiving corps and run the ball

effectively with Alfred Morris, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them BEAT the Texans in Houston. PASS.

Too close to call. WASHINGTON 27 HOUSTON 24.

JETS -5 1⁄2 OVER OAKLAND RAIDERS – I don’t see any way the Raiders starting a rookie quarterback the

first game of the season with the way they looked during the preseason, can stay very close to a beat up

but tough Jets roster. I look for the Jets to run and throw the ball successfully against a Raiders defense

which is suspect at best. The Jets are going to do this while playing several second string players on the

defensive side of the ball. I don’t think it will make a difference. TAKE THE JETS FOR (4 STARS)JETS 31

TENNESSEE +3 OVER KANSAS CITY (42) – Kansas City made me look good last year as my TOTAL WINS

PLAY OF THE YEAR won its first 9 games on their way to a playoff spot. Don’t look for the same good

fortune this season. Starting the season without Dwayne Bowe on suspension doesn’t help. New

Titans head coach Ken Whisenhunt and exceptional DC Ray Horton give Tennessee a shot at a much

better team immediately this season. Even though Alex Smith struggled to a 59.8 QB rating during the

preseason, he signed a HUGE new contract. Their offensive line is beat up and missing some key people.

I wouldn’t be a big surprised if Tennessee wins this game in Arrowhead. Titans QB Jake Locker had a

GREAT preseason. Jamaal Charles will have to have another great game to deliver a win for the Chiefs.

The Chiefs lost their last 3 home games last season. PASS.TENNESSEE 34 KANSAS CITY 31.

NEW ENGLAND -4 AT MIAMI (46.5) – Tom Brady is supposed to play which pretty much gives you a

good reason to give the 4 points and take the Pats against a Miami team that has a lot to work on this

season if they’re going to even THINK about going to the playoffs. Adding Derrelle Revis to a pretty

good defense to begin with is going to Ryan Tannehill a tough time finding anyone open to throw to.

The Dolphins picked up Knowshon Moreno as a free agent and that won’t hurt but with a new offense

and an offensive line that at best is NEW…I look for the Dolphins defense to wear down being on the

field all the time and get outscored easily. TAKE THE PATS GIVING UP JUST 4 POINTS FOR 3 STARS! NEW

TAMPA BAY -3 OVER CAROLINA (38) – Cam Newton is a game time decision and I wouldn’t be surprised

if he doesn’t start this game. He’s injured and shouldn’t play if he IS injured. Josh McCown starts for the

Bucs at QB. He can flat out play the game and I look for him to lead this Tampa Bay offense to the lead

and the win here. RB Doug Martin should be fed the ball regularly in this game and new HC Lovie Smith

(welcome back!) will find a way to win this game on the defensive side of the ball. FINAL SCORE TAMPA

BAY 23 CAROLINA 20. PASS.

PITTSBURGH -6 1⁄2 OVER CLEVELAND – I really don’t see much happening here in the way of scoring

but what score IS done in this game will be done mostly by Ben Roethelisberger and the Steelers. The

ineffectiveness of the Cleveland offense should keep Big Ben and the Steeler offense on the field long

enough to score and cover against this anemic offense of the Browns. Maybe Hoyer looks good enough

to stay and finish the game for the Browns and maybe Johnny Football gets in there sometime in the

second half to try to spark the Browns…who knows? But this game won’t be close in my opinion. Take

Big Ben and the Steelers to win big at home and make sure they get off to a good start this season.

TAKE THE STEELERS FOR 5 STARS. PITTSBURGH 31 CLEVELAND 10.

SAN FRANCISCO – DALLAS (OVER 51) – Lots of missing parts to a very good San Francisco defense and

a Dallas defense that pretty much sucks completely (last in the league in defense last year). Look for

Romo and Kaepernick to light up the scoreboard in this game in Dallas probably with the roof on which

should create plenty of action and scoring. Usually I’d be on the 49ers here to win and cover but their

offense didn’t look that good in the preseason and there are PLENTY of distractions going around

with this team right now. The Niners are missing key pieces of their great defense and it’s looking like

Michael Crabtree might not play on Sunday. TAKE THE OVER 51 POINTS FOR 5 STARS! SAN FRANCISCO

DENVER -7 OVER INDIANAPOLIS (54) – This game will be entertaining if for no other reason than

watching two future HOF quarterbacks compete. Denver has some distractions with Wes (Molly)

Welker sitting out a few games and Colts owner Robert Irsay being disciplined for driving while high

as hell on something. Earlier during the preseason, Broncos Owner Pat Bowlen announced he would

be stepping down as an active CEO of the team because of early Alzheimer’s disease. But the bottom

line here is talent. Denver on the offensive side of the ball will move the sticks almost at will. Indy will

move the ball also but it will take a hell of a lot more out of Andrew Luck to do so because of his limited

weapons. The game is in Mile High so I’m TEASING THE BRONCOS WITH THE OVER HERE WITH 50% OF

MY WINNINGS FOR THE DAY!! FINAL SCORE DENVER 41 INDY 28.

MONDAY NIGHT GAME – DETROIT -5 1⁄2 OVER GIANTS – The Giants will start slow like last season but

I’m not sure if they will improve all that much. The defense should be better but the offense looked

crippled in the preseason. I’ve already been listening to excuses out of Eli’s mouth so I’m prepared

for not much of a showing on the offensive side of the ball. Look for a rebuilt, rejuvenated, and new

offense out of the Lions. Matthew Stafford will come out slinging and Reggie Bush is ALWAYS ready for

prime time!! The Lions still have a guy on the offensive side of the ball named MEGATRON!! TAKE THE

LIONS MINUS THE POINTS OVER THE GIANTS. DETROIT 34 NEW YORK 24.

MONDAY NIGHT GAME – ARIZONA -3 OVER SAN DIEGO (46) – This game could go either way. Both

offenses are solid. Phillip Rivers and Carson Palmer have over 66,000 yards passing between them.

Both of these guys are familiar now with their offenses. Both have pretty good defenses also. I think

this game will be a shootout with the team that has the ball last winning the game. Therefore, I’M

GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 46 POINTS FOR 5 STARS!!

FINAL WEEK 1 PICKS

NEW ORLEANS -2 AT ATLANTA 5 STARS

PITTSBURGH -7 OVER CLEVELAND 5 STARS

CHICAGO -7 OVER BUFFALO 5 STARS

NEW ENGLAND -4 OVER MIAMI 3 STARS

OVER 52 DALLAS-SAN FRANCISCO 5 STARS

OVER 55 DENVER-INDIANAPOLIS 5 STARS

2014-15 NFC PREDICTED RECORDS

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 12-4

GREEN BAY PACKERS11-5

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 11-5

CHICAGO BEARS 10-6

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES10-6

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS10-6

ARIZONA CARDINALS10-6

MINNESOTA VIKINGS9-7

DETROIT LIONS8-8

ST. LOUIS RAMS8-8

CAROLINA PANTHERS7-9

WASHINGTON REDSKINS7-9

ATLANTA FALCONS6-10

DALLAS COWBOYS6-10

NEW YORK GIANTS6-10

TAMPA BAY BUCS6-10

+18

August 31, 2014

Ron Middleton comes in to talk about the Jaguars. NFL season starts this week and you can almost smell it. Plus MLB picks.

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