SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 28 | NFL PICKS
September 21, 2014
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September 7, 2014

SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 28 | NFL PICKS

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SUNDAY GUESTS

10:30-10:45 CHUCK TODD – If you don’t know who Chuck Todd is, you need to buy a TV and start caring about who and how who runs your country. Besides being the HOST of MEET THE PRESS, Chuck is a HUGE sports fan.  I may ask him when he comes on how many fantasy teams he has but this guy is the real deal.  Not only does he do a great job of balancing himself between political parties and issues, he is fun just to talk to.  Chuck will tell us who his favorite NFL team is and who he likes in college football.  I might even give him a chance to weigh in on who he thinks is going to win the World Series.  As far as NCAA football goes, he’s a big time “The U” fan.

Listen to the segment below.

11:05 – 11:30 – Hopefully we’re going to have MIKE WALLACE of “Nats Talk” on to finish up on what the playoffs are going to look like after the LAST DAY OF THE MLB SEASON THE SAME DAY! It doesn’t get any better than this.  There is a chance I’m going to have Bruce Bochy on the show to wish him and his San Francisco Giants good luck on Tuesday night when they probably travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates.  If they win, they’ll be in the League Divisional Series against the Washington Nationals.  Imagine that!!

11:30 – 11:45 – Arizona Cardinals and SB Nationa writer and blogger and beat guy JESS ROOT will join us and talk about HIS and MY favorite longshot to make the Super Bowl this season, the Arizona Cardinals.  The Cardinals are 3-0 already this season and are in a bye week.  THIS WILL BE GOOD!!

11:45-11:59 – TONY MAZUR – CLEVELAND’S FINEST will be with us at the end of the show to talk about what he sees so far with the NFL and his Cleveland Browns!

This had us laughing during the long break, but we didn’t get to talk about it. It wasn’t a good week to be the owner of the Redskins.

GAMES

MIAMI -3.5 OVER OAKLAND (42) – Nobody cares about this game in London, England which is the same time as the Ryder Cup is going on.  Miami has some interesting things going on there with their starting QB thinking he’s starting and the Head Coach Joe Philbin not letting the media know that.  Whatever is happening, it isn’t conducive to winning NFL football.  However, the Raiders are SO BAD that I don’t think it will matter.  PASS PASS PASS.

GREEN BAY -2 AT CHICAGO (50.5) – The Packers are struggling with many things as we speak, the least of which is their Pro Bowl QB Aaron Rodgers is having a tough time connecting with his receiving corps.  Their running game isn’t where it should be with Eddie Lacy and James Starks either. Hopefully, the Pack will get their offense together against a banged up, not so great Bears defense in Soldier Field this week.  Rodger has won 8 of his last 9 games against the Bears.  Cutler has looked fine even though he’s been throwing to two banged up WRs but their TE is doing a great job.  RB Matt Forte is a dual threat running and catching the football.  The thing I like most about this game is the TOTAL of 50.5 points.  I can see this going OVER easily if the wind isn’t a problem.   Neither defense is playing well and I would say that BOTH TEAMS DEFENSE is their weak hand.  This is too close to call IMO  I would say that in Pete Rozelle’s heaven, both teams should end up 2-2 following this game which would lead me to take the Packers here.  HOWEVER, it would be me picking the weaker defense on the road and that makes no sense.  I AM GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 50.5 FOR 5 STARS SINCE BOTH TEAMS WILL HAVE TO SCORE TO STAY CLOSE DURING THE GAME.  CHECK THE WEATHER FOR WIN VELOCITIES AT GAME TIME. FINAL SCORE CHICAGO 38 GREEN BAY 35.

HOUSTON -3 OVER BUFFALO (42.5) – Both of these teams started off 2-0 and lost their first games last week.  Houston waking up and getting their asses kicked by a New York Giants team that wasn’t nearly as bad as they looked their first two games.  Buffalo got beat up by a pretty damn good San Diego team that will be in the playoffs it looks like.  This game is a toss-up! Both teams QBs are about the same IMO and the Bills defense is probably a little bit better overall.  Both teams are going to have to throw the ball to be effective. The Bills’ C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson are both excellent runners and are tough out of the backfield as receivers.  If Arian Foster is 100%, the Texans will also be tough.  I’m going to PASS ON THIS GAME! FINAL SCORE BUFFALO 23 HOUSTON 20.

INDIANAPOLIS -7.5 OVER TENNESSEE (46) – Andrew Luck is not only one of the best young QBs ever in the NFL and the leader of this Colts team, he is MY QB on my fantasy team and is performing at a phenomenal rate as the #1 QB in Fantasy Football as we speak.  Ahmad Bradshaw is proving to be the most valuable RB out of his backfield as he runs and receives passes whenever he needs to.  The book is still out on Trent Richardson, a guy that owner Jim Irsay (before his arrest last year) traded for with Cleveland.  Reggie Wayne has yet to break loose with a great game this season, recovering from a knee injury.  T.Y. Hilton is injured but should be back this week.  Hakeem Nicks, who was signed as a free agent during the offseason, has looked average at best.  The TE tandem of Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener (also on my fantasy team) has caught 16 passes for almost 200 yards.  The Titans beat the K.C. Chiefs opening day on the road but have looked anything but solid since that first game.  Mistakes have killed the Titans, turning the ball over several times the past two games.  Starting Titans QB Jake Locker is QUESTIONABLE WITH A WRIST INJURY.  HE WAS LIMITED IN PRACTICE ON FRIDAY, WHICH ISN’T A GOOD SIGN.   Backup QB Charlie Whitehurst will start in Locker’s place if he is unable to play.  The TITANS HAVE ALSO LOST 10 OF THEIR LAST 11 GAMES IN INDY!! With the Colts, a preseason favorite to possibly end up in the AFC Championship Game, sitting with a 1-2 record, look for the COLTS TO COME OUT SMOKING ON OFFENSE AND RUNNING UP A TOUGH SCORE FOR THE TITANS TO KEEP UP WITH.  I’M TAKING THE COLTS MINUST THE POINTS FOR 5 STARS HERE.  THEY NEED THE WIN MUCH WORSE THAN THE TITANS DO!! FINAL SCORE INDY 28 TENNESSEE 17.

BALTIMORE -3 OVER CAROLINA (42) – If anyone out there was thinking the Panthers were going to do a replay of last season when they went to the playoffs, a home 18 point loss to the Steelers on Monday night brought everyone back down  to Earth.  Cam Newton will probably look to put pressure on S Matt Elam in the middle of the field with WR Kelvin Benjamin and TE Greg Olsen.  Cam has a 99.4 rating so far this season and backup Anderson’s is 119.8.  They can move the ball in the air, but the offensive line for Carolina MUST keep Cam on his feet.  He is NOT 100% yet.  RB Jonathan Stewart has been AVERAGE so far this season.  Ravens TE Dennis Pitta is out for the season with a hip injury.  THAT is going to leave a HUGE void in the Ravens offense.  New Ravens WR Steve Smith wants revenge and is looking to prove something this weekend.  However, if WR Torrey Smith can’t do better than 6 catches in 3 games for 85 yards (his current stats) then the Ravens are going to have a tough time doing anything offensively in this game.  If the Ravens can run the football, it should loosen up their passing game.  Right now the Panthers are giving up 5-6 yards per carry to their opponents, a part of Carolina’s game that was supposed to be better than that.  I’M GOINT TO PASS ON THIS GAME SINCE IT IS SUCH A TOSS UP IN MY OPINION! FINAL SCORE BALTIMORE 23 CAROLINA 20.

DETROIT -1.5 OVER JETS (44.5) – THIS game is going to be a fun game to watch! Two teams who are borderline picks for the playoffs IMO BOTH need a win here.  The Jets can’t afford to lose here and go to 1-3 on the season with SAN DIEGO, DENVER, AND NEW ENGLAND coming up in the next 3 weeks.  That could leave the Jets at 1-6 in the middle of October and NOBODY IN THE JETS ORGANIZATION WANTS THAT TO HAPPEN!! The second half of the Jets schedule is much easier than the first half but THEY NEED TO WIN NOW!!  Jets QB Geno Smith has play OK but made a few mistakes along the way.  The same can be said for Lions QB Matt Stafford, who usually is much sharper than he has been so far.  Reggie Bush, Joique Bell and the Lions running game has yet to get going.  Megatron (Calvin Johnson) has been OK but is nursing a sore ankle.  Golden Tate has been a solid #2 receiver but they really HAVE no TEs that can threaten the defense.  The Jets are running the ball efficiently but Chris Johnson’s longest run so far this season is 11 yards.  Except for a 71 yard run by Ivory, the Jets running game has just been OK.  Sacks and turnovers have plagued the Jets so far.  On the defensive side of the ball, the JETS SECONDARY IS HORRIBLE!  The Jets have given up 7 TDs so far and have yet to get an interception this season.  I THINK THE LIONS WILL GO AFTER THE SECONDARY WITH THEIR RECEIVING CORPS AND THAT WILL OPEN UP THE LIONS RUNNING GAME.  The Jets will struggle to score points in this game.  IF THE LIONS ARE GOING TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS AND POSSIBLY WIN THE NFC NORTH, THEY NEED TO WIN GAMES LIKES THIS!! I’M TAKING THE LIONS HERE TO COVER THE TINY LINE AND WIN THE GAME OUTRIGHT.  FINAL SCORE DETROIT 30 JETS 17.

PITTSBURGH -7.5 OVER TAMPA BAY (43.5) – The Steelers are having a lot of success running the football.  For the first time in 28 years, the Steelers had TWO RBs who rushed for more than 100 yards in the same game.  The Buccaneers defensive backs are AWFUL.  They have allowed opposing QBs to complete 70 out of 91 throws for 815 yards and a 117.2 QB rating.  This week  last year’s starting QB for the final 8 games Mike Glennon starts the game.  He CAN’T BE WORSE THAN MCCOWN HAS BEEN.  However, Glennon doesn’t play defense and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Steelers open up the playbook and get some scores early and often against this pitiful Bucs team.  I LOOK FOR BEN ROETHELISBERGER TO COME OUT RUNNING AND THROWING THE BALL INTO THE END ZONE.  THE STEELERS RESIGNED FORMER ALL PRO LB JAMES HARRISON THIS PAST WEEK when there were some injuries to their LB corps.  TAKE THE STEELERS -7.5 FOR 5 STARS.  THE STEELERS CAN’T AFFORD NOT TO WIN THIS GAME.  FINAL SCORE PITTSBURGH 38-TAMPA BAY 17.

SAN DIEGO -13 OVER JACKSONVILLE (41) – The Chargers have played great their first three games of the season, losing only a close game to the 3-0 Arizona Cardinals opening day and BEATING the Seahawks and Bills.  QB Phillip Rivers has a 108.3 QB rating and Antonio Gates looks 10 years younger! The Chargers have lost Ryan Matthews and Danny Woodhead for the season already.  Donald Brown steps into the starting role at RB and even though he hasn’t set the world on fire with 81 yards in 40 carries, he should be good enough to offset the great passing game of Rivers.  The Jaguars defense has played three good offenses so far but look right now like the WORST team in the league. The Jags allow the opposing QBs they play a 110.3 rating.  Last week Blake Bortles was brought in for Chad Henne and he should stay there for a while.  If the Chargers don’t look ahead to the Jets next week, they should be able to handle the Jaguars easily and even cover the spread.  Take the CHARGERS MINUS THE POINTS FOR 3 STARS.  FINAL SCORE SAN DIEGO 34 JAGUARS 20.

PHILADELPHIA +5 AT SAN FRANCISCO (50.5) – The Eagles are coming off a high scoring hard hitting game against what was then a pretty healthy Redskins team last week.  Nick Foles had a sore shoulder most of the week but should get the start Sunday.  The Eagles outscore their opponents in the second half 74-24.  They are undefeated.  Shady McCoy got hit hard in the head last week and even though he came back into the game, didn’t seem to be the same guy that left the game when he returned.  RB Darren Sproles provides the Eagles with a weapon most teams do not have.  TE Zack Ertz has caught 9 passes for almost a 20 yard average.  Jeremy Macklin looks like their number 1 receiver this season.  Riley Cooper hasn’t gotten it going yet but I look for him to have a big day tomorrow against the 49ers.  Nick Foles and Colin Kaepernick are two of the best young QBs in the league.  I’ll be surprised if this isn’t a very close game tomorrow.  Usually, you’d look for a lot of scoring but the Niners will have to shut down the Eagles offense if they are going to win.  I doubt they’ll  outscore them in a shootout (although the Redskins almost did) but it should be a great game.   If the Niners can lose at home to the Bears, there’s no reason that they couldn’t lose to the Eagles.  I’M GOING TO PASS ON THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP BUT I’M GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 50.5 POINTS IF THE WIND IS BELOW 15 MPH.  BOTH QBS WILL MOVE THE BALL THROUGH THE AIR BETTER THAN ON THE GROUND. FINAL SCORE SAN FRANCISCO 34 PHILLY 28.

ATLANTA -3 AT MINNESOTA (47) – The Vikings can’t run the football and they have a rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater starting this week because of Matt Cassel’s injury.  Adrian Peterson is out indefinitely because, well……you should know by now.  Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense have weapons, many weapons.  They have Julio Jones who already has 23 catches for 365 yards and 3 TDs this season.  The also have Roddy White and Harry Douglas, both excellent receivers.  They are averaging 4.6 yards per carry with Steven Jackson and Jacquizz Rodgers.  The only good team the Falcons have played, HOWEVER, the Cincinnati Bengals BEAT them two weeks ago 24-10 and shut down their offense.  The Vikings aren’t the Bengals but their head coach is one of the best defensive minds in the game.  Normally, I’d give the home dog a shot here but the VIKINGS ARE SO BANGED UP that I don’t see any way they can play with the Falcons here.  The Vikings have lost back to back to Tom Brady by 23 points and 11 points to Drew Brees.  Matt Ryan has more weapons than either of those two teams.  TAKE THE FALCONS MINUS THE 3 POINTS FOR 4 STARS HERE.  FINAL SCORE ATLANTA 27 MINNESOTA 20.

NEW ORLEANS -3 AT DALLAS (53.5) – This prime time Sunday Night Game should be a lot of fun to watch.  Both teams know how to score.  They just aren’t doing as much of it as they should be.  The Cowboys are 2-1 but their wins are against Tennessee and St. Louis, two teams who are struggling.  They lost to a 49ers team that has been struggling also.  Everybody was talking early in the season about how bad their defense was.  Against the Rams last week, they started to look that way.  The Saints are supposed to have a much improved defense under DC Rob Ryan and the acquisition of some defensive players.  When Dallas is at home since the construction of “The Spaceship”, they haven’t had ANY home field advantage.  As a matter of fact, usually they play much better on the road.  The Saints and Drew Brees, however, are 1-8 against the spread their last nine games on the road.  THEY ARE A BETTER HOME TEAM!  The Cowboys have weapons like NFL rushing leader DeMarco Murray who has 385 yards rushing in 3 games with 3 TDs.  Dez Bryant has 247 yards receiving with 2 TDs already.  Tony Romo hasn’t got it going yet, but the longer he plays with his recovering back, the better he will be.  I’M GONG TO TAKE THE OVER 53.5 POINTS FOR 5 STARS BECAUSE I HONESTLY BELIEVE THAT EITHER OF THESE TEAMS CAN WIN.  The Saints SUPPOSEDLY have the better defense but this game might come down to a field goal.  FINAL SCORE NEW ORLEANS 38 DALLAS 34.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL – NEW ENGLAND -3 AT KANSAS CITY (46) – This game isn’t going to be as good as it normally would but both teams should be improving on their slow starts this year by the time the game rolls around Monday night.  Call my cellphone 703-615-4396 if you would like to know which way (if any) I am leaning for the Monday night game!

su

September 14, 2014

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11:05 – 11:30 – MIKE WALLACE (MLB INSIDER/ NATS TALK/ FORMER MAJOR LEAGUE PITCHER)

CAROLINA -2 1⁄2 OVER DETROIT (43) – Cam Newton gets the start for a Carolina team that held on last

week to beat the Tampa Bay Bucs. I doubt he’s 100% but by the looks of things, he’s ready to get

his offense on track. Last week in street clothes he ran out onto the field to read the “riot act” to his

offense. It seemed to work. Detroit has Matthew Stafford, Megatron, Reggie Bush, and an offense that

looks like they can attack from everywhere. Their defense is improved but I’m not sure if they will be

as good with bad weather tomorrow expected in Charlotte. If they can establish the run and open up

their passing game, I look for Detroit to give the Panthers some problems they can’t handle. DETROIT 27

CAROLINA 21. TAKE THE POINTS FOR 3 STARS.

MIAMI PICK AT BUFFALO (43) – PASS. I just can’t get a feel for this game. Sure, Buffalo won last week

and everyone is happy because they won’t have to travel to Canada to see future NFL football games.

Last week the Bills played well in Chicago and took advantage of three Bears turnovers to beat them

in OT 23-20. I’m still not convinced that Bills QB E.J. Manuel is the guy for the job but he managed the

game well only throwing one interception and going 16 for 22 with a touchdown. The Bills ran the ball

33 times for 193 yards. If they can do that against the Dolphins, they should win the game but I think

that this is definitely an improved Dolphins squad. The Dolphins came back from a 20-10 halftime deficit

to outscore the struggling Patriots 33-20. Knowshon Moreno rushed 24 times for 134 yards in the win.

Patriots QB Tom Brady threw the ball 56 times and did NOT throw a TD pass. I’M GOING TO PASS ON

THIS GAME.

JACKSONVILLE +6 OVER WASHINGTON (43) – The Jaguars are getting better but it is a slow process.

They have two good QBs who can move the football and some players who have the tools to score. The

Redskins defense is decent and their best side of the ball for sure, but I’m not sure how successful they

will be against an improving Jacksonville tea. Both teams have some injuries to watch. I’ going to pass

on the game but wouldn’t be surprised if the Jaguars stay close and cover. I’ going to PASS.

TENNESSEE -3.5 OVER DALLAS (49.5) – Tennessee looked ready to play last week going into Kansas City

and handling the Chiefs and Andy Reid by a score of 26-10. It wasn’t that close. Jake Locker looked

good going 22 for 33 for 266 yards and 2 TD’s and NO picks. The Titans also RUSHED for 162 yards

distributing the ball to different runner. I look for the Titans to jump on the Cowboys at home and take

advantage of a confused looking Tony Romo and the Dallas offense. The Dallas defense is a sieve to

begin with. If Dallas is going to have a chance, it will lay in the hands of running back DeMarco Murray

who had 118 yards on 22 carries and a TD last week. Their passing game looks horrible. FINAL SCORE

TENNESSEE 34 DALLAS 24. TAKE THE TITANS FOR 4 STARS!

ARIZONA -2.5 OVER GIANTS (42.5) – Carson Palmer practiced on Friday and even though he’s listed as

questionable, he’s close to 100% according to my sources. The Cards held on and beat a good San Diego

Chargers team last Monday and even though they are on a short week AND they play on the East coast,

I’m tempted to play the against the struggling Giants. The Giants have injuries and their offense, which

is new under Coach McAdoo, doesn’t seem to have much of a chance anytime soon. Eli threw two picks

and had a QB rating of only 53 last week against the Lions. They only averaged 3.5 yards PER PLAY.

Carson Palmer looks comfortable in Bruce Arians offense and he has some weapons. Even though the

Cards have lost some good defensive players to injury, they played great last week. I’M GOING TO TAKE

THE CARDS FOR A REGULAR PLAY TO BEAT AND COVER AGAINST THE GIANTS. FINAL SCORE ARIZONA 27

GIANTS 21.

NEW ENGLAND -5.5 AT MINNESOTA (48.5) – What has happened to Minnesota this past week you

couldn’t make up. Adrian Peterson is probably done for the year, suspended for being indicted in Texas

to disciplining his 4 year old son with a switch and leaving marks that didn’t look good in the pictures.

No matter how you feel about this, the Vikings best offensive weapon is gone. The Pats lost last week.

They are playing outside in a new stadium when the home field advantage won’t be as easy to attain

thus the 5.5 point spread with Vikings the underdog. Matt Cassel had a great week throwing the ball

last week in St. Louis. They HAMMERED the Rams 34-6. I doubt that Belichick is going to let former

Patriot QB Cassel beat him. Tom Brady had a horrible week last week ending up with a 69.7 QB rating

against the Dolphins. Gronkowski should be a week healthier this week. I’M GOING TO PASS ON THIS

ONE. FINAL SCORE NEW ENGLAND 23 MINNESOTA 20.

NEW ORLEANS -6.5 OVER CLEVELAND (48.5) – The Saints lost a tough one when their defense under

Rob Ryan, forgot to show up and cover and tackle. I don’t see the Saints and Sean Payton coming into

Cleveland and losing to a team that lost their star running back and tight end in last week’s game. Look

for a shootout of sorts but Ryan will get the Saints defense working better and Cleveland won’t have

a team to come back on like they did last week against the Steelers. The Browns were down 27-3 at

halftime last week. I like the Saints here to completely manhandle the Browns. We might see JOHNNY

FOOTBALL at halftime of this week’s game. TAKE THE SAINTS FOR 5 STARS HERE. FINAL SCORE NEW

ORLEANS 35 CLEVELAND 14.

CINCINNATI -5.5 OVER ATLANTA (49) – Cincinnati prevailed in Baltimore last week and the Falcons

UPSET the Saints at HOME in a shootout of sorts. Matt Ryan was Offensive Player of the Week going

31 for 43 for 448 yards and setting all kinds of Atlanta Falcon records. They ran the ball very efficiently

also running the ball 25 times for 123 yards. Everybody seems to be healthy for Atlanta this week. The

Bengals have some injury issues but the Falcons defense is anything but tough. I look for a shootout

in Cincinnati in some good weather and the results will be too close to call. A.J. Green looks like a Hall

of Famer in the making. IM GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 49 POINTS HERE FOR 5 STARS! FINAL SCORE

CINCINNATI 38 ATLANTA 34.

TAMPA BAY -5.5 OVER ST. LOUIS (37.5) – The Rams pretty much SUCKED last week against the Vikings

who opened up a can of whoop ass against them. The Bucs lost a tough one against a Panther defense

that refused to lose. You’re going to see a very similar game today in Tampa on a hot day but not a lot

of humidity. Since the Rams look to be starting a backup today (Shaun Hill is hurt) I don’t see much of

a chance of the Bucs losing this one. Whether they cover the spread is another question. Last week

against Carolina they HAD NO RUNNING GAME at all. I’M GOING TO HEDGE HERE ON BOTH PLAYS.

I’M GOING TO TAKE THE BUCS TO COVER THE SPREAD AGAINST A ROOKIE QB AND I SEE THE NUMBER

GOING UNDER 37.5. FINAL SCORE TAMPA BAY 23 ST. LOUIS 10

SEATTLE -5.5 OVER SAN DIEGO (44) – This has the makings of a GREAT game this week but it will all

hinge on whether the Chargers defense can stop Russell Wilson and his balanced offense and running

game to be able to stay close enough for the Charger OFFENSE to score enough points to cover and/or

win the game. The Seahawks are healthy. The Chargers are a little banged up after their game against a

physical Arizona tea that they lost a close one against last week. It is also a short week for the Chargers.

Gametime temperatures are going to be around 90 degrees but I don’t think that will give either team

an advantage. This game features two great QBs in Phillip Rivers and Russell Wilson. Wlson gives the

Hawks an edge with his ability to run when nothing is available. Rivers has to look for a soft place to

lay down. Chargers RB Ryan Matthews will get the ball at least 20 times for the Chargers to have any

chance to win. I’M GOING TO PASS ON THE GAME, EVEN THOUGH SEATTLE IS THE BETTER TEAM FOR

SURE. THE LINE IS A GOOD ONE. FINAL SCORE SEATTLE 24 SAN DIEGO 21.

HOUSTON -3 AT OAKLAND (40) – UGLY UGLY UGLY GAME. The Texans are banged up but have a much

better team than Oakland and after winning last week in Washington, they know how important this

game is in the grand scheme of making the playoffs. J.J. Watt pretty much beat up the entire Redskins

OL and made Robert Griffin nervous and caused turnovers. TAKE THE HOUSTON TEXANS TO GO 2-0

BEATING THE RAIDERS IN OAKLAND ON A BEAUTIFUL TEXAS DAY! FINAL SCORE HOUSTON 27 OAKLAND

20.

GREEN BAY -8 OVER JETS (46) – Hey, I’d love to take the JETS here but I’m scared of how good the

Packers are going to look coming off a loss an ass whooping to the Seattle Seahawks. Granted, the

Jets aren’t the Seahawks, but they have a pretty good defense. However, coming off one of the worst

passing games of his career, I look for Aaron Rodgers to bounce back and deliver a win for the Packers

hopeful. Whether they cover 8 points or not is another thing. JETS QB Geno Smith looked good against

Oakland but, hey, IT WAS OAKLAND!! I’M GOING TO TAKE THE PACKERS HERE TO BOUNCE BACK AND

DELIVER A WIN AND A COVER HERE AGAINST REX AND THE JETS! PLAY THE PACKERS FOR 5 STARS HERE.

FINAL SCORE GREEN BAY 31 JETS 21. WE MIGHT SEE MIKE VICK IN THIS GAME.

DENVER -12.5 OVER KANSAS CITY (50.5) – This is my play of the week. I think Denver will absolutely

DESTROY the Chiefs. Sure, K. C. still has some weapons on offense but I’m looking for the Chiefs to be

just as bad as they did in the playoffs last season. Manning and his offense are going to score early and

score repeatedly. I don’t see the Chiefs having much of a chance here in the altitude of Denver. Chiefs

QB Alex Smith had the WORST QB rating of the entire league last week against the Tennessee Titans.

Hey, give me a break. That absolutely sucks. Their best receiver is suspended for another few games

(Dwayne Bowe) and last week they didn’t run the ball much at all. It sure is starting to look like an

Andy Reid team. Look for Jamaal Charles to get the ball much more frequently this week. TAKE THE

BRONCOS TO COVER AND WIN THIS GAME. YOU CAN HEDGE (IF YOU WISH) ON THE OVER ALSO. THAT

WOULD COVER A K.C. GOOD OFFENSIVE GAME (WHICH I DON’T THINK WILL HAPPEN). FINAL SCORE

DENVER 48 K.C. 24.

SUNDAY NIGHT

SAN FRANCISCO -7 OVER CHICAGO (48) – Chicago looked so pitiful last week on both sides of the ball

that I have to go with the Niners AND the over in a slight hedge here. The Niners minus some personnel

are still FAR better than the Bears. The Niners are at home for their Opener in their new stadium. I

could see Cutler getting hurt in this game against a defense that is going to be looking to kick a little ass

today and go 2-0. The Bills had 193 rushing yards last week against the Bears defense. Look for Frank

Gore and Colin Kaepernick to do more of the same. Some injuries to some Bears players isn’t going to

help either. TAKE THE NINERS MINUS THE POINTS FOR 4 STARS AND THE OVER FOR 4 STARS. FINAL

SCORE SAN FRANCISCO 45 CHICAGO 28.

MONDAY NIGHT

INDIANAPOLIS -3 OVER PHILADELPHIA (54) – See my website for the pick tomorrow night!! As of right

now, I’m taking the OVER for 5 stars. I might release Indy tomorrow. I’m waiting on some news.

PICKS FOR NHB-

TENNESSEE -3.5 OVER DALLAS 3 STARS

DENVER -12 OVER KANSAS CITY 5 STARS

NEW ORLEANS -6 OVER CLEVELAND 5 STARS

NEW ENGLAND -6 OVER MINNY 3 STARS

HOUSTON -3 OVER OAKLAND 3 STARS

INDIANAPOLIS -3 OVER PHILLY 4 STARS

SAN FRANCISCO -7 OVER CHICAGO 4 STARS

September 7, 2014

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HAPPY BIRTHDAY CAROL!!

DEDICATED TO LINDA

10:05-10-15 GARY MYERS (NEW YORK DAILY NEWS) WRITER JETS/GIANTS

10:30-10:45 RICK SNIDER (REDSKINS AND NFC EAST)

11:30-WHENEVER CLARK JUDGE (NFL, JETS AND GIANTS)

ST. LOUIS -3 OVER MINNESOTA (44) – With Sam Bradford out, the Rams don’t lose too much starting

Shaun Hill at QB. Hill has a winning record as a starter in the NFL and they are going to need Zak Stacy

to run the ball effectively behind their offensive line to win anyway. Minnesota has a new head coach

in veteran DC Mike Zimmer and look for the Vikings to POUND the ball on the ground and mix in some

passes to their great TE Kyle Rudolph. This should be a close game and probably without much scoring.

I’m going to PASS on this one. ST. LOUIS 23 MINNY 20.

NEW ORLEANS -2 OVER ATLANTA (52) – Normally this would be one of the games of the day, but

personally, I don’t see it that way this season. Atlanta is coming off one of their worst seasons in history

and definitely in Mike Smith’s tenure as HC of the Falcons. Even though they lost Tony Gonzales to

retirement, the Falcons still have Roddy White and Julio Jones. However, I don’t see the defense for the

Falcons having enough to stop Drew Brees and his talented offense of the Saints. I look for the Saints to

score often and the entire game. The Saints have added Jarius Byrd at safety. That won’t hurt either.

TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE 2 POINTS FOR 4 STARS. NEW ORLEANS 31 ATLANTA 21.

CHICAGO -7 OVER BUFFALO (47) – I’m looking for the Bears to come out ready to play both offensively

and defensively at home over a Bills team that struggles on both sides of the ball. Bills QB EJ Manuel

continues to struggle with this offense He’s going to have to improve dramatically for the Bills to get to

the postseason. Jay Cutler is HEALTHY and usually gets off to a good start anyway. I look for the Bears

to have their way on offense with a good but not great Bills defense. Matt Forte and the Bears receivers

will be open and open regularly for Cutler to move the sticks. TAKE THE BEARS MINUS THE POINTS FOR

5 STARS! CHICAGO 27 BUFFALO 17.

BALTIMORE – 2 OVER CINCINNATI (43) – This game might be the most important of the day because

the winner takes a full game lead over the team that will probably be right there at the end of the

season to compete for the playoff spot and division championship. The Ravens have been fairly quiet

in the offseason but have made some strides on the defensive side of the ball. Ray Rice sits a two game

suspension for knocking out his new bride but many people believe that Bernard Pierce is a better

overall back than Rice anyway. If Pierce plays well, look for Rice to have a reduced role with the Ravens

offense when he does come back. TE Dennis Pitta is healthy and is Joe Flacco’s security blanket. Torrey

and Steve Smith give Flacco plenty of ammunition to go down the field in their no-huddle. Cincinnati, by

the way, is the AFC North returning champion and have plenty of weapons on both sides of the ball to

win this ballgame. Andy Dalton has just signed a long term deal with the Bengals but has lost his OC in

Jay Gruden, who took the HC job in Washington. This game should come down to the final 5 minutes of

the game. PASS. BALTIMORE 27 CINCINNATI 24.

WASHINGTON +3 OVER HOUSTON(44.5) – Two rookie coaches in Jay Gruden and Bill O’Brien going at

it with two teams whose combined records last season were 5-27? No wonder Thom Brennaman and

David Diehl are announcing the game. Houston doesn’t have much except Arian Foster (who didn’t take

a snap in preseason) and Andre Johnson on offense. Jadeveon Clowney has looked good in preseason

next to J.J. Watt and they could create problems for the Washington offensive line but in reality, the

Redskins probably have more talent overall than a Houston team where I seriously have a hard time

finding names I recognize. If Robert Griffin can deliver the ball to his receiving corps and run the ball

effectively with Alfred Morris, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them BEAT the Texans in Houston. PASS.

Too close to call. WASHINGTON 27 HOUSTON 24.

JETS -5 1⁄2 OVER OAKLAND RAIDERS – I don’t see any way the Raiders starting a rookie quarterback the

first game of the season with the way they looked during the preseason, can stay very close to a beat up

but tough Jets roster. I look for the Jets to run and throw the ball successfully against a Raiders defense

which is suspect at best. The Jets are going to do this while playing several second string players on the

defensive side of the ball. I don’t think it will make a difference. TAKE THE JETS FOR (4 STARS)JETS 31

TENNESSEE +3 OVER KANSAS CITY (42) – Kansas City made me look good last year as my TOTAL WINS

PLAY OF THE YEAR won its first 9 games on their way to a playoff spot. Don’t look for the same good

fortune this season. Starting the season without Dwayne Bowe on suspension doesn’t help. New

Titans head coach Ken Whisenhunt and exceptional DC Ray Horton give Tennessee a shot at a much

better team immediately this season. Even though Alex Smith struggled to a 59.8 QB rating during the

preseason, he signed a HUGE new contract. Their offensive line is beat up and missing some key people.

I wouldn’t be a big surprised if Tennessee wins this game in Arrowhead. Titans QB Jake Locker had a

GREAT preseason. Jamaal Charles will have to have another great game to deliver a win for the Chiefs.

The Chiefs lost their last 3 home games last season. PASS.TENNESSEE 34 KANSAS CITY 31.

NEW ENGLAND -4 AT MIAMI (46.5) – Tom Brady is supposed to play which pretty much gives you a

good reason to give the 4 points and take the Pats against a Miami team that has a lot to work on this

season if they’re going to even THINK about going to the playoffs. Adding Derrelle Revis to a pretty

good defense to begin with is going to Ryan Tannehill a tough time finding anyone open to throw to.

The Dolphins picked up Knowshon Moreno as a free agent and that won’t hurt but with a new offense

and an offensive line that at best is NEW…I look for the Dolphins defense to wear down being on the

field all the time and get outscored easily. TAKE THE PATS GIVING UP JUST 4 POINTS FOR 3 STARS! NEW

TAMPA BAY -3 OVER CAROLINA (38) – Cam Newton is a game time decision and I wouldn’t be surprised

if he doesn’t start this game. He’s injured and shouldn’t play if he IS injured. Josh McCown starts for the

Bucs at QB. He can flat out play the game and I look for him to lead this Tampa Bay offense to the lead

and the win here. RB Doug Martin should be fed the ball regularly in this game and new HC Lovie Smith

(welcome back!) will find a way to win this game on the defensive side of the ball. FINAL SCORE TAMPA

BAY 23 CAROLINA 20. PASS.

PITTSBURGH -6 1⁄2 OVER CLEVELAND – I really don’t see much happening here in the way of scoring

but what score IS done in this game will be done mostly by Ben Roethelisberger and the Steelers. The

ineffectiveness of the Cleveland offense should keep Big Ben and the Steeler offense on the field long

enough to score and cover against this anemic offense of the Browns. Maybe Hoyer looks good enough

to stay and finish the game for the Browns and maybe Johnny Football gets in there sometime in the

second half to try to spark the Browns…who knows? But this game won’t be close in my opinion. Take

Big Ben and the Steelers to win big at home and make sure they get off to a good start this season.

TAKE THE STEELERS FOR 5 STARS. PITTSBURGH 31 CLEVELAND 10.

SAN FRANCISCO – DALLAS (OVER 51) – Lots of missing parts to a very good San Francisco defense and

a Dallas defense that pretty much sucks completely (last in the league in defense last year). Look for

Romo and Kaepernick to light up the scoreboard in this game in Dallas probably with the roof on which

should create plenty of action and scoring. Usually I’d be on the 49ers here to win and cover but their

offense didn’t look that good in the preseason and there are PLENTY of distractions going around

with this team right now. The Niners are missing key pieces of their great defense and it’s looking like

Michael Crabtree might not play on Sunday. TAKE THE OVER 51 POINTS FOR 5 STARS! SAN FRANCISCO

DENVER -7 OVER INDIANAPOLIS (54) – This game will be entertaining if for no other reason than

watching two future HOF quarterbacks compete. Denver has some distractions with Wes (Molly)

Welker sitting out a few games and Colts owner Robert Irsay being disciplined for driving while high

as hell on something. Earlier during the preseason, Broncos Owner Pat Bowlen announced he would

be stepping down as an active CEO of the team because of early Alzheimer’s disease. But the bottom

line here is talent. Denver on the offensive side of the ball will move the sticks almost at will. Indy will

move the ball also but it will take a hell of a lot more out of Andrew Luck to do so because of his limited

weapons. The game is in Mile High so I’m TEASING THE BRONCOS WITH THE OVER HERE WITH 50% OF

MY WINNINGS FOR THE DAY!! FINAL SCORE DENVER 41 INDY 28.

MONDAY NIGHT GAME – DETROIT -5 1⁄2 OVER GIANTS – The Giants will start slow like last season but

I’m not sure if they will improve all that much. The defense should be better but the offense looked

crippled in the preseason. I’ve already been listening to excuses out of Eli’s mouth so I’m prepared

for not much of a showing on the offensive side of the ball. Look for a rebuilt, rejuvenated, and new

offense out of the Lions. Matthew Stafford will come out slinging and Reggie Bush is ALWAYS ready for

prime time!! The Lions still have a guy on the offensive side of the ball named MEGATRON!! TAKE THE

LIONS MINUS THE POINTS OVER THE GIANTS. DETROIT 34 NEW YORK 24.

MONDAY NIGHT GAME – ARIZONA -3 OVER SAN DIEGO (46) – This game could go either way. Both

offenses are solid. Phillip Rivers and Carson Palmer have over 66,000 yards passing between them.

Both of these guys are familiar now with their offenses. Both have pretty good defenses also. I think

this game will be a shootout with the team that has the ball last winning the game. Therefore, I’M

GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 46 POINTS FOR 5 STARS!!

FINAL WEEK 1 PICKS

NEW ORLEANS -2 AT ATLANTA 5 STARS

PITTSBURGH -7 OVER CLEVELAND 5 STARS

CHICAGO -7 OVER BUFFALO 5 STARS

NEW ENGLAND -4 OVER MIAMI 3 STARS

OVER 52 DALLAS-SAN FRANCISCO 5 STARS

OVER 55 DENVER-INDIANAPOLIS 5 STARS

2014-15 NFC PREDICTED RECORDS

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 12-4

GREEN BAY PACKERS11-5

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 11-5

CHICAGO BEARS 10-6

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES10-6

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS10-6

ARIZONA CARDINALS10-6

MINNESOTA VIKINGS9-7

DETROIT LIONS8-8

ST. LOUIS RAMS8-8

CAROLINA PANTHERS7-9

WASHINGTON REDSKINS7-9

ATLANTA FALCONS6-10

DALLAS COWBOYS6-10

NEW YORK GIANTS6-10

TAMPA BAY BUCS6-10

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