October 19, 2014

Mike Wallace calls in to talk MLB, Tony Mazur, calls in to talk NFL, and Bruce Bochy gives us an update on what the San Francisco Giants are doing to prepare for the World Series.

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Bruce Bochy Interview

October 12, 2014

Mike Wallace calls in to talk MLB Playoffs, and Chuck Todd calls in to discuss October (Football) Surprises.

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October 5, 2014

NFL Picks

CAROLINA -2.5 OVER CHICAGO (45.5) – This game is so ugly I don’t even want to talk about it. The Panthers can’t run the ball, nor can they stop the run, but they’ve had success throwing it a little bit. The Bears got crushed by Green Bay last week at home and looked clueless. ANYBODY can win the North except the Vikings it seems. I’m going to completely PASS on this game.

DALLAS -6 OVER HOUSTON (46.5) – The Cowboys offense is moving the football. That is for sure. DeMarco Murray has rushed for at least 100 yards the first four games and scored at least a TD in each game. Dez Bryant and Terrance Williams are a formidable 1-2 punch receiving the football and you can’t forget about TE Jason Witten. Except for J.J. Watt creating havoc for opposing offensive lines and rushing the passer, the Texans defense hasn’t been very good. Texans RB Arian Foster has been up and down with injuries. Even though the Cowboys generally don’t have much of a homefield advantage at the “Spaceship”, I think they have a shot at delivering a pretty good blow here against a struggling Texans team. Texans QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been OK so far but he’s not as good a QB as Romo. TAKE THE OVER 46.5 FOR 4 STARS AND THE COWBOYS FOR 3 STARS MINUS THE 6 POINTS.

DETROIT -7 OVER BUFFALO (44) – The Lions have beaten three decent teams so far. The Giants, the Packers, and the Jets, but they’re not all that good. They DID LOSE to the Carolina Panthers and the Panthers have had problems too. To stay in the driver’s seat of the NFC North Division, the Lions aregoing to need to stop the running game of the Bills’ offensive line and RBs C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. The Lions will probably NOT be able to do much against the defensive front 7 of the Bills even though they’ve had some injuries. Lions WR Calvin Johnson might be out this week but Golden Tate stepped in and performed admirally last week against Jets depleted secondary. Because of the nature of the injuries to Buffalo’s defense and the offense of the Lions, I’m going to PASS on the game.

INDIANAPOLIS -3.5 OVER BALTIMORE (48.5) – The Colts lost two tough games at the start of the season to Denver and Philly. They can’t afford to lose any more games anytime soon. After losing to the Benglas opening day, the Ravens have looked good the past three weeks. The Colts may struggle running the football against the Ravens front 7 but they’ll have to establish the run in order to keep Andrew Luck upright. Luck has thrown for 13 TDs already and only thrown 4 picks. RB Ahmad Bradshaw is dangerous not only running the football but as a receiver out of the backfield. This is probably going to be a close game but I DO LIKE THE OVER 48.5 POINTS!! TAKE THE OVER HERE FOR 5 STARS!

PITTSBURGH -6 AT JACKSONVILLE (47) – I can’t figure out the Steelers. When you think they’ve got an offense that can score some points, they sit down like last week against the Buccaneers and lose to a team that has no business beating them… AT HOME!! The Jaguars are horrible. I think everyone agrees with that, but they have their franchise QB Blake Bortles starting now. They can’t run the football and besides Rookie WR Allen Hurns and WR Allen Robinson, nobody really gives Bortles a good target to throw to. The Jags have lost by an average of 23.5 points per game. I don’t see anything really changing here going against a Steelers team that needs a win desperately. TAKE THE STEELERS MINUS THE 6 POINTS FOR 4 STARS.

NEW ORLEANS -10 OVER TAMPA BAY (48) – TAKE THE OVER. I’m serious. The game itself shouldn’t be close. If it is close…then they’ll hit the OVER. If it’s not close and the Saints blow out the Bucs, then it will STILL GO OVER!! The Saints just lost their best defensive back for the season. The Bucs get back their starting RB in Martin. Bobby Rainey gives them a good RB to spell Martin while he gets back in shape. With Glennon throwing the ball against a New Orleans defense that struggles against the pass (giving up0 a 105.7 QB rating with 7 TDs and 0 picks) The Saints have won 18 straight games with Sean Payton on the sidelines. I see them winning this game but I don’t think they’re going to run away with anything here. ONCE AGAIN, TAKE THE OVER 48 POINTS IN THIS GAME FOR 3 STARS!!

GIANTS -4 OVER ATLANTA (50.5) – This SHOULD be a shootout but last week the Giants forced 6 turnovers against their Division rival Washington Redskins so maybe it won’t be a shootout. Eli Manning and the Giants offense has looked good the last two weeks but that was against Houston and Washington. The Falcons can score but they have a hard time keeping their opponents from scoring. Both teams are 2-2 so a win for both of them puts them in a position to compete for their division lead. The Giants are at home. TAKE THE GIANTS MINUS THE POINTS AND THE OVER FOR 5 STARS EACH!

TENNESSEE -2 OVER CLEVELAND (44.5) – The Titans start out strong beating a decent K.C. team at home. (K.C. looked bad) Then thy run into the Cowboys, Bengals and Colts. Three good QBs and teams. Shonn Greene gets injured as does Sankey in the offensive backfield. Jake Locker also was down last week in a blowout loss to Indy. This week Locker comes back but I doubt it will be enough to take care of a Browns team that is improving and playing as well as they’ve played in year. QB Brian Hoyer has a 97.5 QB rating and not thrown a pick this season. The Browns also get starting RB Ben Tate back this week to go with West and Crowell who have been excellent so far this season out of the backfield. The Browns average 4.5 yards per carry. The Browns are also healthy, coming off of their bye week. Make no mistake about it. The Browns are the better team here. TAKE THE BROWNS MINUS THE POINTS FOR 3 STARS HERE.

DENVER 7.5 OVER ARIZONA (48.5) – This is probably the MARQUEE GAME of the day here. Both teams come off of their bye weeks and they are playing like they will be around for the playoffs, even though it looks like the number 1 QB for the Cards Carson Palmer might be out for a while. Drew Stanton, Palmers understudy but no rookie to the NFL has played well so far. He has thrown 2 TDs and has no picks. The Cards have had trouble running the football and future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald has yet to get on track but make no mistake about it, this team is good. They have beaten the Chargers, Giants, and the 49ers in their first three weeks of the season. All three of those teams might make it to the playoffs this season. Their defense, led by DC Todd Bowles is tough and is extremely tough to run against. Their secondary is stellar led by Patrick Peterson and Antonio Cromartie. On offense, Stanton has great targets in Michael Floyd, Larry Fitzgerald, and John Brown. The Broncos are coming off of an OT loss to the World Champion Seahawks, nothing to be ashamed of. Peyton Manning historically comes off bye weeks with wins. TE Julius Thomas has 5 TDs so far this season AND he is on my fantasy team. The Broncos are going to have to establish the run or it might be a tough day for Manning. However, the Cards only have 3 sacks in 3 games so far. TAKE PEYTON MANNING AND HIS BRONCOS TO COVER THE 7.5 SPREAD IN MILE HIGH THIS WEEKEND!! 4 STARS HERE.

SAN DIEGO -6.5 OVER JETS (43.5) – This game is going to be a very physical confrontation between two teams that seem to be going in opposite directions. Even I picked the Jets to come out playing hard and winning some games this season. So far, the offense isn’t in sync and is turning the ball over WAY too much and the defense, even though they have a very tough front 7, has a secondary that looks like swiss cheese! The defensive backfield has given up 9 TDs and has yet to make an interception this season. Their lone win comes against a HORRIBLE Raiders team. All three of their loses come against the NFC North. The Chargers, on the other hand, are looking like a team that could end up in the Super Bowl. Phillip Rivers leads ALL NFL QBs in QB RATING so far this season with a 114.5 mark. He has thrown 9 TDs and has only one interception. Even though their average yard per carry as a team is 2.4, they have rushed 117 times and do protect Rivers on passing situations. WR Eddie Royal and TE Antonio Gates join WR Keenan Allen in a group that confuses and outruns the opposition defenders. Their defense has been just average IMO. This game could be an old fashioned shootout with Geno Smith putting the ball in the air quite a big to keep up with Rivers and his guys! TAKE THE OVER 43.5 FOR 4 STARS HERE.

KANSAS CITY +6 AT SAN FRANCISCO (44.5) – Once again here are two teams going in opposite directions IMO. After losing their first two games of the season, Alex Smith and the Chiefs seemed to be hitting on all cylinders now as they’ve beaten the Dolphins and the Patriots by a total of 46 points. RBs Jamaal Charles and Knile Davis give the Chiefs a 1-2 punch not seen anywhere else in the league this season. The Chiefs have rushed for 581 yards in their first 4 games. They have one of the best TEs in the league in Jayson Kelce who has 18 catches and 2 TDs. Jim Harbaugh’s 49ers have beaten the Dallas Cowboys opening day and held on to beat Philly last week. The Eagles had every opportunity to win that game but the San Francisco defense was extremely tough and held on at the goal line at the end of the game for the victory. WRs Anquan Boldin and Michael Crabtree are Colin Kaepernick’s favorite targets but Boldin so far doesn’t have a TD. TE Vernon Davis has two scores but only 9 receptions. The 49ers defense is far better than K.C’s even with some injuries to their best players. I’M GOIN TO PASS ON THIS GAME!

CINCINNATI -1 AT NEW ENGLAND (46) – If the Patriots are horrible, we’ll find out tonight when the Bengals come to Foxboro and see just how bad they are. Coming off of a bye week, the Benglas are undefeated with wins over the Ravens, Falcons, and Titans. QB Andy Dalton shows no signs of missing his former OC Jay Gruden. Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill make up a good 1-2 punch on offense running the football. The Pats only have wins against Oakland and Minnesota so far. Tom Brady looks average behind an offensive line that is having their problems. Tom Brady has lost 3 fumbles already this season and looks lost at times. TE Rob Gronkowski has also looked just average at times this season. TAKE THE MUCH BETTER CINCINNATI BENGALS MINUS THE POINT FOR 5 STARS! New England is getting too much respect here with this line.

SEATTLE -7 OVER WASHINGTON (46.5) – The Seahawks although they’ve looked at times a little weaker defensively than the past season, has a very good football team. Led by Russell Wilson, run the football efficiently and force their opponents to pass the ball. The Redskins are coming off of a blowout loss to the Giants at home where they had problems throwing the football with backup QB Kirk Cousins in for an injured Robert Griffin III. Wilson’s QB rating is 108.9. Cousins is 87.4. The Redskins will try to pound the ball on the ground to help out Cousins with his receivers and they might have SOME success doing so with Albert Morris and Roy Helu. The Redskins defense is tough against the run but I’m pretty sure that the Seahawks with Marshawn Lynch and a TOUGH offensive line that has Lynch averaging 5.1 yards per carry, will have success holding on to the football and scoring against the Redskins. THIS IS A PRETTY DAMN GOOD LINE HERE BUT……TAKE THE SEAHAWKS MINUS THE POINTS HERE as they have beaten three teams that are ALL much better than the Redskins. 5 STARS ON THE SEAHAWKS MINUS THE POINTS.

SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 28 | NFL PICKS

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SUNDAY GUESTS

10:30-10:45 CHUCK TODD – If you don’t know who Chuck Todd is, you need to buy a TV and start caring about who and how who runs your country. Besides being the HOST of MEET THE PRESS, Chuck is a HUGE sports fan.  I may ask him when he comes on how many fantasy teams he has but this guy is the real deal.  Not only does he do a great job of balancing himself between political parties and issues, he is fun just to talk to.  Chuck will tell us who his favorite NFL team is and who he likes in college football.  I might even give him a chance to weigh in on who he thinks is going to win the World Series.  As far as NCAA football goes, he’s a big time “The U” fan.

Listen to the segment below.

11:05 – 11:30 – Hopefully we’re going to have MIKE WALLACE of “Nats Talk” on to finish up on what the playoffs are going to look like after the LAST DAY OF THE MLB SEASON THE SAME DAY! It doesn’t get any better than this.  There is a chance I’m going to have Bruce Bochy on the show to wish him and his San Francisco Giants good luck on Tuesday night when they probably travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates.  If they win, they’ll be in the League Divisional Series against the Washington Nationals.  Imagine that!!

11:30 – 11:45 – Arizona Cardinals and SB Nationa writer and blogger and beat guy JESS ROOT will join us and talk about HIS and MY favorite longshot to make the Super Bowl this season, the Arizona Cardinals.  The Cardinals are 3-0 already this season and are in a bye week.  THIS WILL BE GOOD!!

11:45-11:59 – TONY MAZUR – CLEVELAND’S FINEST will be with us at the end of the show to talk about what he sees so far with the NFL and his Cleveland Browns!

This had us laughing during the long break, but we didn’t get to talk about it. It wasn’t a good week to be the owner of the Redskins.

GAMES

MIAMI -3.5 OVER OAKLAND (42) – Nobody cares about this game in London, England which is the same time as the Ryder Cup is going on.  Miami has some interesting things going on there with their starting QB thinking he’s starting and the Head Coach Joe Philbin not letting the media know that.  Whatever is happening, it isn’t conducive to winning NFL football.  However, the Raiders are SO BAD that I don’t think it will matter.  PASS PASS PASS.

GREEN BAY -2 AT CHICAGO (50.5) – The Packers are struggling with many things as we speak, the least of which is their Pro Bowl QB Aaron Rodgers is having a tough time connecting with his receiving corps.  Their running game isn’t where it should be with Eddie Lacy and James Starks either. Hopefully, the Pack will get their offense together against a banged up, not so great Bears defense in Soldier Field this week.  Rodger has won 8 of his last 9 games against the Bears.  Cutler has looked fine even though he’s been throwing to two banged up WRs but their TE is doing a great job.  RB Matt Forte is a dual threat running and catching the football.  The thing I like most about this game is the TOTAL of 50.5 points.  I can see this going OVER easily if the wind isn’t a problem.   Neither defense is playing well and I would say that BOTH TEAMS DEFENSE is their weak hand.  This is too close to call IMO  I would say that in Pete Rozelle’s heaven, both teams should end up 2-2 following this game which would lead me to take the Packers here.  HOWEVER, it would be me picking the weaker defense on the road and that makes no sense.  I AM GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 50.5 FOR 5 STARS SINCE BOTH TEAMS WILL HAVE TO SCORE TO STAY CLOSE DURING THE GAME.  CHECK THE WEATHER FOR WIN VELOCITIES AT GAME TIME. FINAL SCORE CHICAGO 38 GREEN BAY 35.

HOUSTON -3 OVER BUFFALO (42.5) – Both of these teams started off 2-0 and lost their first games last week.  Houston waking up and getting their asses kicked by a New York Giants team that wasn’t nearly as bad as they looked their first two games.  Buffalo got beat up by a pretty damn good San Diego team that will be in the playoffs it looks like.  This game is a toss-up! Both teams QBs are about the same IMO and the Bills defense is probably a little bit better overall.  Both teams are going to have to throw the ball to be effective. The Bills’ C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson are both excellent runners and are tough out of the backfield as receivers.  If Arian Foster is 100%, the Texans will also be tough.  I’m going to PASS ON THIS GAME! FINAL SCORE BUFFALO 23 HOUSTON 20.

INDIANAPOLIS -7.5 OVER TENNESSEE (46) – Andrew Luck is not only one of the best young QBs ever in the NFL and the leader of this Colts team, he is MY QB on my fantasy team and is performing at a phenomenal rate as the #1 QB in Fantasy Football as we speak.  Ahmad Bradshaw is proving to be the most valuable RB out of his backfield as he runs and receives passes whenever he needs to.  The book is still out on Trent Richardson, a guy that owner Jim Irsay (before his arrest last year) traded for with Cleveland.  Reggie Wayne has yet to break loose with a great game this season, recovering from a knee injury.  T.Y. Hilton is injured but should be back this week.  Hakeem Nicks, who was signed as a free agent during the offseason, has looked average at best.  The TE tandem of Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener (also on my fantasy team) has caught 16 passes for almost 200 yards.  The Titans beat the K.C. Chiefs opening day on the road but have looked anything but solid since that first game.  Mistakes have killed the Titans, turning the ball over several times the past two games.  Starting Titans QB Jake Locker is QUESTIONABLE WITH A WRIST INJURY.  HE WAS LIMITED IN PRACTICE ON FRIDAY, WHICH ISN’T A GOOD SIGN.   Backup QB Charlie Whitehurst will start in Locker’s place if he is unable to play.  The TITANS HAVE ALSO LOST 10 OF THEIR LAST 11 GAMES IN INDY!! With the Colts, a preseason favorite to possibly end up in the AFC Championship Game, sitting with a 1-2 record, look for the COLTS TO COME OUT SMOKING ON OFFENSE AND RUNNING UP A TOUGH SCORE FOR THE TITANS TO KEEP UP WITH.  I’M TAKING THE COLTS MINUST THE POINTS FOR 5 STARS HERE.  THEY NEED THE WIN MUCH WORSE THAN THE TITANS DO!! FINAL SCORE INDY 28 TENNESSEE 17.

BALTIMORE -3 OVER CAROLINA (42) – If anyone out there was thinking the Panthers were going to do a replay of last season when they went to the playoffs, a home 18 point loss to the Steelers on Monday night brought everyone back down  to Earth.  Cam Newton will probably look to put pressure on S Matt Elam in the middle of the field with WR Kelvin Benjamin and TE Greg Olsen.  Cam has a 99.4 rating so far this season and backup Anderson’s is 119.8.  They can move the ball in the air, but the offensive line for Carolina MUST keep Cam on his feet.  He is NOT 100% yet.  RB Jonathan Stewart has been AVERAGE so far this season.  Ravens TE Dennis Pitta is out for the season with a hip injury.  THAT is going to leave a HUGE void in the Ravens offense.  New Ravens WR Steve Smith wants revenge and is looking to prove something this weekend.  However, if WR Torrey Smith can’t do better than 6 catches in 3 games for 85 yards (his current stats) then the Ravens are going to have a tough time doing anything offensively in this game.  If the Ravens can run the football, it should loosen up their passing game.  Right now the Panthers are giving up 5-6 yards per carry to their opponents, a part of Carolina’s game that was supposed to be better than that.  I’M GOINT TO PASS ON THIS GAME SINCE IT IS SUCH A TOSS UP IN MY OPINION! FINAL SCORE BALTIMORE 23 CAROLINA 20.

DETROIT -1.5 OVER JETS (44.5) – THIS game is going to be a fun game to watch! Two teams who are borderline picks for the playoffs IMO BOTH need a win here.  The Jets can’t afford to lose here and go to 1-3 on the season with SAN DIEGO, DENVER, AND NEW ENGLAND coming up in the next 3 weeks.  That could leave the Jets at 1-6 in the middle of October and NOBODY IN THE JETS ORGANIZATION WANTS THAT TO HAPPEN!! The second half of the Jets schedule is much easier than the first half but THEY NEED TO WIN NOW!!  Jets QB Geno Smith has play OK but made a few mistakes along the way.  The same can be said for Lions QB Matt Stafford, who usually is much sharper than he has been so far.  Reggie Bush, Joique Bell and the Lions running game has yet to get going.  Megatron (Calvin Johnson) has been OK but is nursing a sore ankle.  Golden Tate has been a solid #2 receiver but they really HAVE no TEs that can threaten the defense.  The Jets are running the ball efficiently but Chris Johnson’s longest run so far this season is 11 yards.  Except for a 71 yard run by Ivory, the Jets running game has just been OK.  Sacks and turnovers have plagued the Jets so far.  On the defensive side of the ball, the JETS SECONDARY IS HORRIBLE!  The Jets have given up 7 TDs so far and have yet to get an interception this season.  I THINK THE LIONS WILL GO AFTER THE SECONDARY WITH THEIR RECEIVING CORPS AND THAT WILL OPEN UP THE LIONS RUNNING GAME.  The Jets will struggle to score points in this game.  IF THE LIONS ARE GOING TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS AND POSSIBLY WIN THE NFC NORTH, THEY NEED TO WIN GAMES LIKES THIS!! I’M TAKING THE LIONS HERE TO COVER THE TINY LINE AND WIN THE GAME OUTRIGHT.  FINAL SCORE DETROIT 30 JETS 17.

PITTSBURGH -7.5 OVER TAMPA BAY (43.5) – The Steelers are having a lot of success running the football.  For the first time in 28 years, the Steelers had TWO RBs who rushed for more than 100 yards in the same game.  The Buccaneers defensive backs are AWFUL.  They have allowed opposing QBs to complete 70 out of 91 throws for 815 yards and a 117.2 QB rating.  This week  last year’s starting QB for the final 8 games Mike Glennon starts the game.  He CAN’T BE WORSE THAN MCCOWN HAS BEEN.  However, Glennon doesn’t play defense and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Steelers open up the playbook and get some scores early and often against this pitiful Bucs team.  I LOOK FOR BEN ROETHELISBERGER TO COME OUT RUNNING AND THROWING THE BALL INTO THE END ZONE.  THE STEELERS RESIGNED FORMER ALL PRO LB JAMES HARRISON THIS PAST WEEK when there were some injuries to their LB corps.  TAKE THE STEELERS -7.5 FOR 5 STARS.  THE STEELERS CAN’T AFFORD NOT TO WIN THIS GAME.  FINAL SCORE PITTSBURGH 38-TAMPA BAY 17.

SAN DIEGO -13 OVER JACKSONVILLE (41) – The Chargers have played great their first three games of the season, losing only a close game to the 3-0 Arizona Cardinals opening day and BEATING the Seahawks and Bills.  QB Phillip Rivers has a 108.3 QB rating and Antonio Gates looks 10 years younger! The Chargers have lost Ryan Matthews and Danny Woodhead for the season already.  Donald Brown steps into the starting role at RB and even though he hasn’t set the world on fire with 81 yards in 40 carries, he should be good enough to offset the great passing game of Rivers.  The Jaguars defense has played three good offenses so far but look right now like the WORST team in the league. The Jags allow the opposing QBs they play a 110.3 rating.  Last week Blake Bortles was brought in for Chad Henne and he should stay there for a while.  If the Chargers don’t look ahead to the Jets next week, they should be able to handle the Jaguars easily and even cover the spread.  Take the CHARGERS MINUS THE POINTS FOR 3 STARS.  FINAL SCORE SAN DIEGO 34 JAGUARS 20.

PHILADELPHIA +5 AT SAN FRANCISCO (50.5) – The Eagles are coming off a high scoring hard hitting game against what was then a pretty healthy Redskins team last week.  Nick Foles had a sore shoulder most of the week but should get the start Sunday.  The Eagles outscore their opponents in the second half 74-24.  They are undefeated.  Shady McCoy got hit hard in the head last week and even though he came back into the game, didn’t seem to be the same guy that left the game when he returned.  RB Darren Sproles provides the Eagles with a weapon most teams do not have.  TE Zack Ertz has caught 9 passes for almost a 20 yard average.  Jeremy Macklin looks like their number 1 receiver this season.  Riley Cooper hasn’t gotten it going yet but I look for him to have a big day tomorrow against the 49ers.  Nick Foles and Colin Kaepernick are two of the best young QBs in the league.  I’ll be surprised if this isn’t a very close game tomorrow.  Usually, you’d look for a lot of scoring but the Niners will have to shut down the Eagles offense if they are going to win.  I doubt they’ll  outscore them in a shootout (although the Redskins almost did) but it should be a great game.   If the Niners can lose at home to the Bears, there’s no reason that they couldn’t lose to the Eagles.  I’M GOING TO PASS ON THIS GAME STRAIGHT UP BUT I’M GOING TO TAKE THE OVER 50.5 POINTS IF THE WIND IS BELOW 15 MPH.  BOTH QBS WILL MOVE THE BALL THROUGH THE AIR BETTER THAN ON THE GROUND. FINAL SCORE SAN FRANCISCO 34 PHILLY 28.

ATLANTA -3 AT MINNESOTA (47) – The Vikings can’t run the football and they have a rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater starting this week because of Matt Cassel’s injury.  Adrian Peterson is out indefinitely because, well……you should know by now.  Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense have weapons, many weapons.  They have Julio Jones who already has 23 catches for 365 yards and 3 TDs this season.  The also have Roddy White and Harry Douglas, both excellent receivers.  They are averaging 4.6 yards per carry with Steven Jackson and Jacquizz Rodgers.  The only good team the Falcons have played, HOWEVER, the Cincinnati Bengals BEAT them two weeks ago 24-10 and shut down their offense.  The Vikings aren’t the Bengals but their head coach is one of the best defensive minds in the game.  Normally, I’d give the home dog a shot here but the VIKINGS ARE SO BANGED UP that I don’t see any way they can play with the Falcons here.  The Vikings have lost back to back to Tom Brady by 23 points and 11 points to Drew Brees.  Matt Ryan has more weapons than either of those two teams.  TAKE THE FALCONS MINUS THE 3 POINTS FOR 4 STARS HERE.  FINAL SCORE ATLANTA 27 MINNESOTA 20.

NEW ORLEANS -3 AT DALLAS (53.5) – This prime time Sunday Night Game should be a lot of fun to watch.  Both teams know how to score.  They just aren’t doing as much of it as they should be.  The Cowboys are 2-1 but their wins are against Tennessee and St. Louis, two teams who are struggling.  They lost to a 49ers team that has been struggling also.  Everybody was talking early in the season about how bad their defense was.  Against the Rams last week, they started to look that way.  The Saints are supposed to have a much improved defense under DC Rob Ryan and the acquisition of some defensive players.  When Dallas is at home since the construction of “The Spaceship”, they haven’t had ANY home field advantage.  As a matter of fact, usually they play much better on the road.  The Saints and Drew Brees, however, are 1-8 against the spread their last nine games on the road.  THEY ARE A BETTER HOME TEAM!  The Cowboys have weapons like NFL rushing leader DeMarco Murray who has 385 yards rushing in 3 games with 3 TDs.  Dez Bryant has 247 yards receiving with 2 TDs already.  Tony Romo hasn’t got it going yet, but the longer he plays with his recovering back, the better he will be.  I’M GONG TO TAKE THE OVER 53.5 POINTS FOR 5 STARS BECAUSE I HONESTLY BELIEVE THAT EITHER OF THESE TEAMS CAN WIN.  The Saints SUPPOSEDLY have the better defense but this game might come down to a field goal.  FINAL SCORE NEW ORLEANS 38 DALLAS 34.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL – NEW ENGLAND -3 AT KANSAS CITY (46) – This game isn’t going to be as good as it normally would but both teams should be improving on their slow starts this year by the time the game rolls around Monday night.  Call my cellphone 703-615-4396 if you would like to know which way (if any) I am leaning for the Monday night game!

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