September 22, 2013

Roy caught a ride on a Terrapin and was late to the show. We talk to Sean Salisbury, and Tony Mazur about how god still hates Cleveland, and the best NFL picks of week 3. 

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WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS

SAN FRANCISCO – 10 ½ OVER INDIANAPOLIS – I really don’t see how a banged up team that has problems tackling to begin with and let Terrelle Pryor run for over 100 yards from the QB position in Game 1 can defend a pissed off Colin Kaepernick and a maniacal Jim Harbaugh on Sunday. Even though the 49ers have some problems of their own, I see them playing hard, scoring often, and giving the Colts a big loss. Stanford guys or no Stanford guys, this game looks like a 49ers COVER and OVER. San

Francisco 38 Indy 21.

MINNESOTA -6 ½ OVER CLEVELAND – The Browns have thrown in the towel pretty much for 2013 with a trade of their number one pick last year in the draft Trent Richardson to the Indianapolis Colts for a 1 round choice next season. Talk about sending a message to your fan base. Now the new owner (under investigation by the Justice Department) and new GM and Coach have to take the heat about this move. I’m going to take Adrian Peterson and the Vikings to put some yardage on a pretty good Cleveland defense but an offense that has virtually no punch at all and win and COVER the spread here.

Minny 31 Cleveland 10.

HOUSTON -1 ½ OVER BALTIMORE – Normally I wouldn’t bet against the Ravens at home because they are very tough there, but this isn’t Houston’s first rodeo in Baltimore and last season and the season before that, they outplayed the Ravens there only to lose a close game. I’M GIVING THE POINTS HERE and taking the road dogs to outplay and more importantly OUTDEFEND the Ravens. The Ravens defense looked much better last week but THEY PLAYED THE CLEVELAND BROWNS! This is not the Cleveland Browns and I look for the Texans to be able to run and especially throw the ball and outscore the Ravens. The Texans defense led by J.J. Watt should be able to put enough pressure on Flacco to make life tough on Sunday for him and his offense.

HOUSTON 27 BALTIMORE 20.

CINCINNATTI +3 OVER GREEN BAY – I’m sorry but I don’t see this as an accurate line. I might be proven wrong by the end of the game but last week in Green Bay the Packers played a pitiful excuse for a football team in the Washington Redskins and outplayed them from the start putting up over 600 yards in total offense. Their defense didn’t play all that great especially in the second half where they seemed to take their foot off the pedal. Now they travel to Cincinnatti, a place where the team is maybe the most physical in the league. They don’t make mistakes on offense and defensively they attack the quarterback like he stole something from them. I see the line as Cincy -3 or 4 not them being the dog so when I see VALUE people, I jump at it. TAKE THE BENGALS MINUS THE POINTS FOR 4 STARS HERE.

CINCINNATTI 34 GREEN BAY 28. OH YEAH, TAKE THE OVER ALSO.

NEW YORK GIANTS -1 OVER CAROLINA – I have to make a confession. I didn’t particularly like this game until I found out that Head Coach Tom Coughlin’s brother died in an accident after the game last week stepping out of a cab. Tragedy befalls all of us from time to time but losing a younger brother is like losing a son. It hurts terribly especially when you are as close as they were. Put that together with a matchup that last season was a complete mismatch in favor of the Giants and you’ve got a game that the Giants should be ready to go hard with. I love the matchups of wide receivers from the Giants and backs on the linebackers and defensive backs of the Panthers. Add the fact that their best defensive back Charles Godfrey is out for the season and I like the Giants scoring a lot of points here from the start. They may not have to run the ball. Cam Newton is decent and has a couple of guys to go to but nothing like the Giants.

GIANTS IN A BIG COVER HERE MINUS THE POINT. GIANTS 34 CAROLINA 24.

TAKE THE OVER IF THE WEATHER IS GOOD.

SEATTLE -19 ½ OVER JACKSONVILLE – Sure this line is too big. Sure no NFL team should not be able to cover 20 points. Sure. This Jacksonville team sucks. They may be the worst team to assemble in the NFL in many years. This Seattle team barring injury will host the NFC Championship game this season and playing in that stadium is a 10 point advantage MINIMUM. Without talking about the complete mismatch in talent and coaching, TAKE SEATTLE in my PLAY OF THE WEEKEND! GIVE THE POINTS FOR 5 STARS. This isn’t quite as bad as Ohio State playing Kenmore Junior High School like yesterday, but it’s not far off. Really it isn’t.

SEATTLE 48 JACKSONVILLE 7. Oh yeah, Pete Carroll DOES love to run it up.

Hopefully Pete doesn’t take Jacksonville.

WASHINGTON-DETROIT OVER 49 POINTS – Neither of these teams seems to be able to play much defense and if things go like they have for the Washington NFL team so far this season, Detroit should jump out to about a 28-0 lead in the first half and let Washington score some points in the second half. Matt Stafford is one of the best QB’s in the league and he is throwing against a secondary where a dysfunctional D’Angelo Hall is their best back. Add to that defense injuries and a linebacking corps led by an aging, slowing London Fletcher and you have a lot of yardage being made by the Lions offense.

I’M TAKING OVER 49 POINTS. MIGHT GO OVER BY HALFTIME.

NEW ORLEANS-ARIZONA OVER 48 ½ POINTS – Even with Larry Fitzgerald questionable, the Cards have a quarterback that can now throw the ball to his receivers. Add a decent running game and a defense led by Patrick Peterson (who is going home to Louisiana) and a rookie Honey Badger (LSU great) this might be a close game and may also be a high scoring game. Drew Brees hasn’t been his usual great self so far this season but I look for him to come out of it this game and score some points. They should have some success against a Cards defense that is adequate but not all that great. Rob Ryan’s Saint’s defense has improved but still has some problems. Playing indoors I see the Saints winning a close game here but the Cardinals staying right with them till the end. TAKE THE OVER 48 ½ POINTS FOR 4 STARS.

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